Probability

  • Stats statements
    problem
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    Stats Statements

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    1 out of 3

    Are these statistical statements sometimes, always or never true? Or it is impossible to say?

  • Rain or Shine
    problem
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    Rain or Shine

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    2 out of 3

    Predict future weather using the probability that tomorrow is wet given today is wet and the probability that tomorrow is wet given that today is dry.

  • Knock-out
    problem
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    Knock-Out

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    2 out of 3

    Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?

  • Put Out
    problem
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    Put Out

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    After transferring balls back and forth between two bags the probability of selecting a green ball from bag 2 is 3/5. How many green balls were in bag 2 at the outset?

  • Limiting Probabilities
    problem
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    Limiting Probabilities

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    Given probabilities of taking paths in a graph from each node, use matrix multiplication to find the probability of going from one vertex to another in 2 stages, or 3, or 4 or even 100.

  • FA Cup
    problem
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    Fa Cup

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    In four years 2001 to 2004 Arsenal have been drawn against Chelsea in the FA cup and have beaten Chelsea every time. What was the probability of this? Lots of fractions in the calculations!

  • Scale invariance
    problem
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    Scale Invariance

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    By exploring the concept of scale invariance, find the probability that a random piece of real data begins with a 1.

  • Time to evolve 2
    problem
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    Time to Evolve 2

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    How is the length of time between the birth of an animal and the birth of its great great ... great grandparent distributed?

  • Probably a code?
    problem
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    Probably a Code?

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    3 out of 3

    Is the regularity shown in this encoded message noise or structure?